Despite being weak, El Niño conditions continue to be in place, after the event was deemed officially underway a month ago. This is the first El Niño in four years and there is a 90% chance that these conditions will remain throughout winter.
According to NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) El Niño is forecasted to grow in strength through the fall and winter, peaking from moderate to strong intensity range from late fall to winter. There is an 81% chance that this intensity will take place between November and January.
However, researchers show only 1 in 5 chance that this El Niño becomes “historically strong” rivaling similar El Niño events in 2015 – 2016 and 1997-1998.
During El Niño, the Southern States will experience a winter that will tend to be colder and wetter. The Northern half of the country will experience warmer temperatures. The Southwest, Southern Plains and mid-Atlantic have had their snowiest winters during El Niño.
For more information on El Niño, be sure to read the following article.