Hurricane season is coming fast and furious! NOAA is predicting an above-normal hurricane season, forecasting 17 – 25 named storms (winds higher than 39 mph), 8-13 hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher) and 4-7 major hurricanes (Cats 3, 4, or 5 with winds of 111 mph or higher). The sea-surface temperatures are already exceeding last year’s temperatures. The figure above shows the differences in temperatures from this year and previous years. With all this in mind, NOAA is predicting an 85% above-normal season. The season stretches from June 1st – November 30th.
The U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook is predicting drought remaining in the Hill Country as well as drought persistence and development in West and Far West Texas. This projection is through August and can be seen in the figure below.
In the three month seasonal temperature outlook, we are looking at above average temperature rates for the lower states. Texas is ranging from 50 – 70% above normal temperatures. You can see more in the figure below, however, if you have been outside in Texas lately, you know it is going to be a hot summer!
The seasonal precipitation outlook through August is dry. The East side of the State is looking at higher than normal chances of precipitation, while the West side of the State has lower than normal chances of precipitation. The middle of the State has equal chances. You can see more in the figure below.
For more information on the Texas + Water update, be sure to check it out here!