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Seeing What Others Miss: Making Sense of Agricultural Risk Today

December 6, 2025 by merri.day

Agriculture has always faced uncertainty. Although agricultural risk management has come a long way in recent years, producers face a multifaceted risk landscape that is constantly changing due to unpredictable weather, evolving regulatory frameworks, and volatile markets. In this article, we address some factors that make today’s risk environment increasingly complex, discuss common “blind spots”, and provide tips for distinguishing market signals from noise.  [Read more…] about Seeing What Others Miss: Making Sense of Agricultural Risk Today

Filed Under: Risk Management

Changes to the ARC-CO Program in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

November 14, 2025 by andrew.wright

Pictures of cotton, wheat, sorghum, and cornOn July 4, 2025, President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) into law. The law included changes to the Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs. In a previous post, we covered what changed for the PLC program. This post explains what has changed for the ARC program and how payments under these programs might be affected. [Read more…] about Changes to the ARC-CO Program in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

Filed Under: Ag Policy, Crops, Risk Management

Projected Crop Insurance Prices and Revenue Guarantees in 2025

March 6, 2025 by andrew.wright

Projected crop insurance prices for counties in AgriLife Extension Districts 1 and 2 were set in February. Today, we consider what these prices imply about the financial risk that producers face in 2025. [Read more…] about Projected Crop Insurance Prices and Revenue Guarantees in 2025

Filed Under: Corn, Cotton, Crops, Risk Management, Sorghum, Uncategorized

Examining the 2025 Corn and Sorghum Budgets

February 19, 2025 by andrew.wright

Picture of corn

Corn on Tuesday, Sep 17, 2024, in El Campo, Texas. (Michael Miller/Texas A&M AgriLife)

The 2025 crop and livestock budgets are available on the Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Economics website.  In today’s post, we break down the District 1, District 2, and District 3 corn and sorghum budgets and discuss what they imply about feed grain production in 2025. [Read more…] about Examining the 2025 Corn and Sorghum Budgets

Filed Under: Business Management, Corn, Crops, Risk Management, Sorghum

Examining the 2025 Cotton Budgets

January 29, 2025 by andrew.wright

Picture of cotton at sunset

Cotton on the Texas A&M AgriLife Farm in Snook, Texas on Sept. 9, 2021. (Sam Craft/Texas A&M AgriLife Marketing and Communications)

The 2025 crop and livestock budgets will soon be available on the Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Economics website.  In today’s post, we break down the District 1 and District 2 cotton budgets and discuss what they imply about cotton production in 2025. [Read more…] about Examining the 2025 Cotton Budgets

Filed Under: Business Management, Cotton, Risk Management

Input Costs in 2025

January 17, 2025 by andrew.wright

Picture of a stack of coinsAs we enter a new year, producers are making plans for a new crop.  Those plans will depend in part on their expectations regarding their costs of production.  In this post, we’ll discuss our expectations for five important costs in 2025. [Read more…] about Input Costs in 2025

Filed Under: Business Management, Corn, Cotton, Crops, Risk Management, Sorghum, Uncategorized, Wheat

Using Financial Ratios to Manage Debt, part 2

November 22, 2024 by andrew.wright

Four jars filled with varying amounts of coinsDoes your business generate enough income to make scheduled debt and lease payments?  If necessary, could that income also cover payments on additional debt?  In today’s post, we’ll look at a set of financial measures that can help you answer these important questions. [Read more…] about Using Financial Ratios to Manage Debt, part 2

Filed Under: Business Management, Risk Management

Use Financial Ratios to Manage Debt

November 7, 2024 by andrew.wright

Picture of piggy bank holding an umbrellaCan you borrow to finance new purchases when you need to?  Or will borrowing more put your business at risk of bankruptcy?  Your ability to answer these questions accurately is an important part of managing your business for long-term success.  In today’s blog we’ll look at some information taken from a farm’s business records that can help you make financially responsible borrowing decisions.

[Read more…] about Use Financial Ratios to Manage Debt

Filed Under: Business Management, Risk Management, Uncategorized

Considering the Impact of Loan Structure on Loan Cost

October 16, 2024 by andrew.wright

Image of a calculator, pen, and paperAn important part of managing a farm business is managing debt.  Producers who utilize debt effectively can increase the profitability of their operation.  However, borrowing comes at a cost.  Today, we’ll discuss the different types of loans available to producers and their structures. We’ll also look at how different loan structures impact the cost of borrowing.

[Read more…] about Considering the Impact of Loan Structure on Loan Cost

Filed Under: Business Management, Risk Management

To Harvest or Not to Harvest? Cotton Harvest Decisions

September 18, 2024 by andrew.wright

Picture of a cotton being harvested

Cotton harvest on Oct. 20, 2021. (Courtney Sacco/Texas A&M AgriLife Marketing and Communications)

It’s almost time for producers to begin harvesting cotton in this part of the state.  Today, we look at the decision to harvest low-yielding fields and discuss the costs and benefits of doing so.  We also present a tool to help producers evaluate the profitability of harvesting cotton from low-yielding fields. [Read more…] about To Harvest or Not to Harvest? Cotton Harvest Decisions

Filed Under: Business Management, Cotton, Risk Management

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  • Seeing What Others Miss: Making Sense of Agricultural Risk Today
  • Grazing Management Plans: Planning for Pasture, Performance, and Profit
  • Changes to the ARC-CO Program in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

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