{"id":1527,"date":"2023-10-11T09:00:47","date_gmt":"2023-10-11T09:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/?p=1527"},"modified":"2023-10-11T13:26:10","modified_gmt":"2023-10-11T13:26:10","slug":"monthly-drought-update-and-el-nino-possibility","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/monthly-drought-update-and-el-nino-possibility\/","title":{"rendered":"Monthly Drought Update and El Ni\u00f1o Possibility!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/6a.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1528 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/6a.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"388\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/6a.png 1290w, https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/6a-300x222.png 300w, https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/6a-1024x757.png 1024w, https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/6a-768x568.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 388px) 100vw, 388px\" \/><\/a>The last three years have been years of La Ni\u00f1as, while there is some chatter of a super El Ni\u00f1o coming, right now there is a 71 % chance of a strong El Ni\u00f1o developing (defined as a sea-surface temperature greater than or equal to 1.5 degrees Celsius). Figure 6a illustrates El Ni\u00f1o conditions exceeding 95% chance of extending through the winter, with growing chances of more neutral conditions in early Spring 2024.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In the past few weeks, we have seen some storms roll through and some slightly cooler temperatures coming in from the North towards the Center of the State. Despite that, most of the state has received less than normal rainfall over the past 30 days, based on September 29, 2023 data (Figure 2a). In addition, most of Texas are below normal amounts of rainfall with significant deficits in rainfall for the last 90 days (Figure 2c).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2a.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1529\" src=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2a.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"737\" height=\"657\" srcset=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2a.png 1440w, https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2a-300x268.png 300w, https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2a-1024x913.png 1024w, https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2a-768x685.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 737px) 100vw, 737px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2c.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1530\" src=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2c.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"737\" height=\"645\" srcset=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2c.png 1480w, https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2c-300x263.png 300w, https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2c-1024x897.png 1024w, https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/files\/2023\/10\/2c-768x673.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 737px) 100vw, 737px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In summary, 96% of Texas is abnormally dry or worse.\u00a0 This pattern has not changed in the last five weeks. While there were more recent rains in the last week, the latest drought update will be available on Thursday the 12<sup>th<\/sup> and will hopefully reveal some average fall precipitation scattered across the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country.<\/p>\n<p>For more information on the monthly drought update, be sure to read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/texaspluswater.wp.txstate.edu\/2023\/10\/02\/outlookwater-drought-remains-wetter-than-normal-conditions-may-be-on-the-way-and-the-odds-of-a-super-el-nino\/?utm_source=Texas%2BWater+Newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=a93d510a71-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2023_03_22_08_02_COPY_01&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_-86323a7a46-%5BLIST_EMAIL_ID%5D&amp;mc_cid=a93d510a71&amp;mc_eid=23994de06b\">here.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>For weekly drought updates, be sure to following our social media accounts <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WestTexasRangelands\/\">here!<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The last three years have been years of La Ni\u00f1as, while there is some chatter of a super El Ni\u00f1o coming, right now there is a 71 % chance of a strong El Ni\u00f1o developing (defined as a sea-surface temperature greater than or equal to 1.5 degrees Celsius). Figure 6a illustrates El Ni\u00f1o conditions exceeding&#8230; <span class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/monthly-drought-update-and-el-nino-possibility\/\">Read More &rarr;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2037,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[113,152],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1527","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-drought-management","category-el-nino","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Monthly Drought Update and El Ni\u00f1o Possibility! - West Texas Rangelands<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/westtexasrangelands\/monthly-drought-update-and-el-nino-possibility\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monthly Drought Update and El Ni\u00f1o Possibility! - West Texas Rangelands\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The last three years have been years of La Ni\u00f1as, while there is some chatter of a super El Ni\u00f1o coming, right now there is a 71 % chance of a strong El Ni\u00f1o developing (defined as a sea-surface temperature greater than or equal to 1.5 degrees Celsius). 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