{"id":1841,"date":"2022-10-19T13:58:02","date_gmt":"2022-10-19T13:58:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/agnewsandviews\/?p=1841"},"modified":"2022-10-19T13:58:02","modified_gmt":"2022-10-19T13:58:02","slug":"cattlemen-plan-for-and-look-toward-post-drought-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/agnewsandviews\/2022\/10\/19\/cattlemen-plan-for-and-look-toward-post-drought-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Cattlemen Plan for and Look Toward Post Drought Market"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Texas Crop and Weather Report \u2013 Oct. 12, 2022<\/h2>\n

OCTOBER 12, 2022<\/p>\n<\/header>\n

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Texas cattle producers should be planning ahead and ready for scenarios that put them in good position to capitalize on a potentially strong post-drought cattle market, according to a\u00a0Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service<\/a>\u00a0expert.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\"Bale<\/a>
Forage is in short supply going into winter following extended drought conditions. Texas cattle producers have been salvaging crops for forage and baling anything with nutritive value for cattle. (Texas A&M AgriLife photo by Sam Craft)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

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Jason Cleere, Ph.D., AgriLife Extension statewide beef cattle specialist, Bryan-College Station, said cattle producers face a range of challenges and concerns as herds enter fall and winter, particularly those related to rainfall between now and spring.<\/p>\n

Producers need to minimize costs while maximizing their herd\u2019s productivity through these challenges because cattle market outlooks are positive, Cleere said.<\/p>\n

According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, rainfall events in mid-August through early September reduced the percentage of the state experiencing some form of drought. More than 99% of Texas was experiencing drought on Aug. 2 compared to 78% on Sept. 13, but the percentage has climbed back to 89% as of Oct. 4.<\/p>\n

The next drought monitor report is expected to show worsening drought conditions due to recent high temperatures and lack of rainfall, he said. The weather is expected to shift toward an El Ni\u00f1o pattern by spring, but the lingering La Ni\u00f1a patterns, which typically deliver warmer, drier weather to most of Texas, have left big question marks for producers.<\/p>\n

Cleere said many producers still face tough decisions on their herds related to the potential costs of keeping cattle based on their operation\u2019s stocking rates and forage stocks. Some producers are facing decisions based on low pond or stock tank water levels.<\/p>\n

Cow and calf prices are expected to rise following widespread herd consolidation across the state due to drought, he said. Producers should be mapping out their winter based on available grazing, forage and hay stocks, as well as expected costs for supplemental feed.<\/p>\n

The goal should be to maintain a good body condition score going into the calving seasons so that those cows will breed back to ensure a good calf crop the following year, Cleere said.<\/p>\n

\u201cI am optimistic about cattle numbers and future demand over the next few years,\u201d he said. \u201cWe could be poised to be as good or better than 2014-2015, so we need to be thinking about the calf crop that will be hitting the market, and the costs of pregnancy rates and supplementation through winter. My fear is that producers will try to cut corners, and that it could impact the calf crop, fertility and the timely breed-back of cows, which would impact the next year\u2019s calf crop.\u201d<\/p>\n

Be efficient rather than cut corners<\/h3>\n

Nutrition is not the place to cut corners, Cleere said.<\/p>\n

Producers should aim for a body condition score of five for cows at calving, he said. This provides a buffer for lactating cows that will help them maintain a good condition as they recover for breeding.<\/p>\n

Improving an operation\u2019s efficiency when it comes to animal nutrition can be done in several ways, he said.<\/p>\n

Cleere recommends testing hay to determine the nutritive value and what type of nutritional supplementation may be necessary. Many hay producers reduced fertilizer applications due to higher nitrogen prices this season, and hay quality could be lower than normal.<\/p>\n

\u201cHay supplies are much better than they were 60 days ago, but ranchers will still be cutting it close,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s a great idea to test hay and let that guide the supplemental diet in an efficient way.\u201d<\/p>\n

Producers should also look into purchasing supplemental feed in bulk rather than by the bag or pricing other supplements with nutrition per pound in mind, he said. Total digestible nutrients per pound of feed is an important consideration because some less expensive rations may include higher amounts of fiber, which reduces the energy value of the feed.<\/p>\n

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\"Cattle<\/a>
Cattle producers are feeding supplemental feed to help get their herds through the drought. (Texas A&M AgriLife photo by Adam Russell)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Cleere said producers could also consider pricing troughs to reduce waste.<\/p>\n

\u201cUnder wetter conditions, you may lose 20%-30% of cubes, and you can see a lot of nutrition go to waste on the ground,\u201d he said. \u201cThe key is looking for efficiency in our feed management and getting the most out of every dollar you spend.\u201d<\/p>\n

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Winter pasture could be good investment<\/h3>\n

Warm-season pastures are playing out at this point.<\/p>\n

The investment in winter pasture, including ryegrass, could be another way to provide efficient nutrition for cattle, Cleere said. But that option is heavily dependent on whether fields receive timely rainfall events to fuel germination, establish good stands and growth if winter temperatures are mild, or during spring green up.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is certainly an opportunity to overseed with ryegrass, especially with the lack of thatch in many pastures,\u201d he said. \u201cFertilizer prices have come down, but the question is will it rain enough to get ryegrass pastures up and keep them going through spring.\u201d<\/p>\n

Cleere said overseeding ryegrass in East Texas typically begins around Oct. 15, but that very few producers were preparing yet due to the moisture situation. Producers should be ready to capitalize on positive weather patterns if they are looking to establish winter pasture.<\/p>\n

During the drought in 2011, Cleere said his operation received its first rain the week of Thanksgiving. He overseeded a sacrifice pasture that was grazed down with ryegrass the day after Thanksgiving.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt was a mild winter, we fertilized and we had good rain, and by the end of January we had a foot of ryegrass,\u201d he said. \u201cThat turned out to be a perfect winter for that, but it started with being ready for the rain.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe positive is the numbers and indications that we\u2019re seeing good market predictions,\u201d he said. \u201cThe negatives are what we are dealing with right now with the drought and the cost of everything. We\u2019ll need those expected prices to see profits, and so we need to be doing everything we can to control costs without sacrificing herd production.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n

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Texas Crop and Weather Report \u2013 Oct. 12, 2022 OCTOBER 12, 2022 Texas cattle producers should be planning ahead and ready for scenarios that put them in good position to… Read More →<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":609,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1841","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-uncategorized","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCattlemen Plan for and Look Toward Post Drought Market - Ag News and Views<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/agrilife.org\/agnewsandviews\/2022\/10\/19\/cattlemen-plan-for-and-look-toward-post-drought-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cattlemen Plan for and Look Toward Post Drought Market - Ag News and Views\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Texas Crop and Weather Report \u2013 Oct. 12, 2022 OCTOBER 12, 2022 Texas cattle producers should be planning ahead and ready for scenarios that put them in good position to... 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